Leafs Break Losing Streak With 3-1 Win
The Toronto Maple Leafs continued their domination of the Tampa Bay Lightning with a 3-1 win at the St. Pete Times Forum. The Leafs own a 3-0 record over the Bolts, outscoring them 17-5. There were three things that really stuck out for me last night. The first thing is how the Leafs played in the third period. Despite taking some penalties the Leafs were disciplined and played a solid defensive game. This was totally missing prior to Randy Carlyle. As we look to next season, this philosophy should help to move the Leafs up the Eastern Conference standings.
The second thing that got my attention was James Reimer. Coach Carlyle made the observation that the Leafs young goalie appeared nervous in the game against Florida. Full marks to Carlyle for coming back with Reimer and the 24 year old responded well with a 34 save performance, that included some big ones. As the game went on you could see Reimer's confidence grow. It will be interesting to see how many games each goalie will play in the remaining 11 games left in the season. The key thing to remember is Reimer is under contract for next year and Jonas Gustavsson will be an unrestricted free agent.
Finally, what can you say about Jake Gardiner. His goal was a highlight reel special but his overall play was just as impressive. The young 21 year old defenseman logged over 23 minutes of ice time which was second only to Dion Phaneuf among Leaf defenseman. There was an interesting camera shot during a stoppage in play that showed Gardiner over at the bench talking to Carlyle. The youngster couldn't have a better teacher than the former Norris Trophy defenseman. I have said it before and I will say it again: Jake Gardiner is the best young Leaf defenseman since Borje Salming broke into the league.
Leaf Notes:
* Interesting stat: The Leaf goalies' save percentage under Randy Carlyle is .920. Under Ron Wilson it was .903. Wonder if that has something to do with better defensive zone coverage.
* With Nikolai Kulemin done for the season, it will be interesting to see if the Leafs bring up anybody from the Marlies. With the Marlies heading for a playoff run, Brian Burke may be reluctant to move anybody up to the big club.
* Any interesting article by Damien Cox yesterday suggesting that the Leafs should move Phil Kessel. I am a huge Phil Kessel fan. In my opinion, the Leafs have not had a sniper like Kessel since Alexander Mogilny. However, if the Leafs could acquire a top notch center or big scoring winger I might make a trade. For that matter, other than Jake Gardiner I'm not sure there is anyone who is untouchable, depending upon what the Leafs would get in return.
* As part of the article, Cox bases his premise on the notion that Kessel is not a player that will fit in Carlyle's style of play. I'm not sure that is a fair assessment. It's important to remember that Joffrey Lupul being out has hurt Kessel and it is evident that the team's recent losing streak has taken its toll on the 24 year old right winger. By the way, weren't people saying the same thing when Ilya Kovalchuk when he went to the defense-first New Jersey Devils??
A Familiar Result: No Playoffs For Leafs
The Toronto Maple Leafs went to Washington yesterday with the hope of vaulting themselves back in the thick of the playoff race. Instead, once again they could not score a goal and dropped a 2-0 decision to the 8th place Capitals leaving them eight points out of the last playoff spot. For all practical purposes, a season that started out so promising has turned into a nightmare.
There is no question that this team has tightened up defensively and Jonas Gustavsson has played extremely well in goal. But their inability to score a goal over two games is pretty incredible. While losing Joffrey Lupul has hurt, the Phil Kessel line has been totally ineffective the last two games. Tim Connolly needs to be taken off the line and I would suggest that Matt Frattin be placed back on it. The way that line is currently set, there is no one on it that is going to provide any physical presence to create space for Kessel. Lupul does that and Frattin has the ability to do it. Keeping Frattin on the fourth line does not make any sense, particularly since the kid does have some offensive ability.
I continue to be impressed with Carter Ashton. Coach Randy Carlyle should consider giving this kid some power play time. Carlyle has talked about developing offense by cycling down low in the offensive zone. Ashton has the size and the willingness to do that, along with going in front of the net. At this point, what do the Leafs have to lose by trying it?? Ashton's play is what the Leafs expected from Colby Armstrong however he has been a bitter disappointment.
One other point, maybe Coach Carlyle should consider teaming Mikhail Grabovski with Phil Kessel. When you think about it, Grabovski is your best center and Kessel is your best winger. There are many times when Grabovski sets up Nikolai Kulemin or Clarke MacArthur only to have a shot go wide. Think about the Philly game on Saturday. Grabovski and Kessel both have offensive creativity to set up each other. Place Frattin on the line with them and maybe something positive can happen.
With 13 games remaining, Leaf management needs to take a long hard look at this current roster. If this team is going to progress, certain players need to be moved. Without a doubt, the upcoming off season will be the biggest during the Brian Burke era.
Better Effort, Same Result: Leafs Lose 1-0 In A Shootout
If over the last 14 games the Toronto Maple Leafs had played the way they did last night they would probably still be in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and heading for the playoffs. Despite suffering a 1-0 shootout loss to the Philadelphia Flyers, the physical effort and defensive responsibility that the Leafs demonstrated would seem to indicate that Coach Randy Carlyle's philosophy is gaining acceptance. Unfortunately, it is probably too little too late for a playoff spot this season.
Jonas Gustavsson played an exceptional game last night, making key saves when necessary and not allowing what has been a routine soft goal. The Monster really looked focused last night and I didn't see much of the flopping around the crease that has been a part of his game. His rebound control was excellent. Gustavsson is a UFA at the end of this season and the Leafs will have to make a decision. I don't see how Brian Burke can go into next season with Gustavsson and James Reimer so an evaluation is going to have to be made on who to keep and who to let go.
I was really impressed with the David Steckel-Carter Ashton-Joey Crabb line. They really had a physical presence and had no problem moving to the front of the Flyers net. I don't want to overhype the kid, but Carter Ashton is big, strong and willing to go in the dirty areas in the other team's zone. It seemed last night that this trio spent more time in the Flyers zone than in their own end. I would love to see Ashton get some power play time with the express job of going to the net. Would be nice if he could develop into a Ryan Malone type player.
Late this afternoon the Leafs will take on the Capitals in Washington. If the Leafs are to have any chance to make the playoffs then a win today is a must. It will be interesting to see how this team plays after such a tough game last night and who will be the starter in net. If the Maple Leafs bring the same type of intensity today as they did against the Flyers, then they have a chance to pull out a win. More importantly, we may find out what players have bought into their new coach's style of play and those that may not be here at the start of the 2012-13 season.
Burke – Cherry Feud
Last Saturday, Don Cherry lit into Maple Leafs President and General Manager Brian Burke on his Coach's Corner segment. That in and of itself is Cherry's perogative as a broadcaster. If Cherry wanted to criticize Burke for his free agent signings, trades, not removing Ron Wilson sooner or the team's recent tailspin, that's fine. I might not agree with some of it but they are legitimate points for discussion. I can also understand if Cherry wanted to go off on Burke for the Leaf GM going to CBC and complaining about Coach's Corner. However, Cherry's rant that not having enough players from Ontario is the reason for the lack of the Leafs' success and Burke should be held responsible for that is ridiculous.
Cherry has turned himself into the hockey version of Rush Limbaugh. His jingoistic flag-waving nonsense has gone way over the top. The truth be told, Brian Burke has drafted more players from Ontario than John Ferguson Jr. Cherry's view represents that held by some in Toronto who have had a hard time with Burke being an American when the truth be told that most of Leaf Nation could care less where a player is from as long as they play hard and give the Leafs a chance to win. Cherry, like Limbaugh, plays to the over-the-top crowd that loves to point fingers at anyone who is different and use that to explain all of the problems that they face. In this case, Cherry is saying that the Leafs are failing because there are too many non-Ontario players on the roster and too many American college and American born players.
I have said this before and I will say it again: Brian Burke has done a tremendous job in building the team's farm system and making the Leafs younger. There is plenty of potential and certainly the expectation is that some of these kids, like Joe Colborne, Nazem Kadri, Korbinian Holzer and Jesse Blacker, will be ready to make significant contributions next season. (By the way, Kadri and Blacker are from Ontario) This is why I agreed with Burke in not wanting to mortgage the future to get Rick Nash. Leaf management has done this in the past: think Owen Nolan and Tom Kurvers.
Where Burke has faltered is with the acquisition of free agents. The signing of Tim Connolly last summer is the most recent example. Some in the Toronto media have criticized Burke for not bringing in Ontario born free agents, citing the last most significant Ontario-born free agent being Curtis Joseph. I have a problem with this for two reasons. First, there was no salary cap when Joseph was signed. The Leafs have unlimited resources which allowed them to have a payroll as high as they wanted. However, those days are over. Secondly, it takes two to dance and I didn't see Rick Nash, Steven Stamkos or John Tavares allow themselves to hit the open market. They all re-signed with their current clubs before they hit the free agency. Does one honestly think that Burke would not have gone after any one of those three if they had hit the open market? Even Steve Ott, who praised Cherry's rant for sticking up for Ontario-born players, stated that he didn't want to to be traded and loved living in Dallas.
With the team's playoff chances all but over for this season, there is no doubt that next season will be a critical one for Burke and Company. I honestly believe that this team is very close to being a top 8 team in the East on a regular basis. They will need to straighten out the goaltending situation but I feel that the hiring of Randy Carlyle is a positive in making this team better defensively which should help the goaltending. I also believe that James Reimer can be an NHL starting goaltender but the Leafs need to bring in a veteran to help carry the load.
As for Cherry, it's really a shame. I have always enjoyed Coach's Corner but over the last several years I have found myself switching channels during that segment because of the nonsense that was being spewed. Cherry has turned himself into a windbag and it is unfortunate because on some issues (such as no-touch icing and equipment) he is right on the money. He has hurt his own credibility and it appears that no one is big enough to tell him so. Unfortunate indeed.
What a Week For Leafs Nation
My last post was before the trade deadline and I asked the question whether the Toronto Maple Leafs would be different. Well one week later they certainly are different. My very last post called for the firing of Ron Wilson and on Friday evening Brian Burke pulled the trigger and then hired Randy Carlyle. The Leafs responded with a 3-1 win over the Montreal Canadiens on Saturday but the hiring of Carlyle could be a better move than mortgaging the future to try to get a player to get the Leafs into the playoffs. You see Carlyle stresses team defense, an overall team system, toughness and the willingness to match lines when necessary. He also acknowledges this team's greatest asset, speed, and he plans to utilize it to instill the overall team defensive philosophy.
In the dreaded 1-8-1 span of games, the Leafs defensive zone coverage was terrible. The goalies were taking plenty of heat but while their play could have been better, the team in front of them bear as much responsibility for the brutal tailspin. It is apparent that Ron Wilson wasn't able to get this team to pay the price defensively. It also was apparent that he wanted a firewagon style of hockey that the Leafs could play but based upon recent information were not prepared physically or mentally to accomplish. Often times I wondered what actually is Ron Wilson's system. I mean with guys like Lindy Ruff and Jacques Martin you know its going to be a suffocating defense with an aggressive forecheck and if they get a lead they were going to put the clamps down. With Wilson I couldn't figure it out.
Randy Carlyle brings a different philosophy, one that rewards hard work and defense first. After the Montreal game he had an interesting comment about goaltending. Carlyle's point is that a goalie shouldn't have to win you a game, he needs to keep us in the game. Tomorrow's game against Boston is going to be real interesting. The Bruins have manhandled the Leafs all season. Will Carlyle's style of tough hard-nosed defensive hockey allow this team to compete with the Bruins? Will the Leafs be able to utilize their speed to force the Bruins into mistakes?? I'm not expecting miracles but I believe we will see a change. A change for the better.
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I am out-of-town and that is why I have not been able to post regularly so as a result I'm not sure whether Tuesday's Thoughts will be up tomorrow. If it is not you can expect it either Thursday or Friday and I will have plenty to talk about including the whole Burke-Cherry feud, NFL Bounty System, Yankees and Browns thoughts and some basketball. I might even throw in a little golf.
Fire Ron Wilson!!!
I was not going to post today as I am heading out of town but last night's disgusting performance by the Toronto Maple Leafs has inspired me to post this morning. Many have called for the firing of Ron Wilson. I have refrained from jumping onto that bandwagon but I believe that the time has come: Fire Ron Wilson.
A 1-8-1 slide has gone from bad to worse and it appears to me that this team has quit on its coach. Yes, goaltending is a problem. But poor defensive play, a lack of desire to go to the net and work the boards, a power play that is now 1-19 and the inability to change a style of play that has not been successful is a function of the coach. Before the start of the season Tim Hunter and Keith Acton were replaced and this was going to solve everything. That has not been the case. Now is the time to change the head coach.
As late as early this week, I didn't believe that a coaching change was the answer but if in fact the Leafs are going to be a seller then changing the coach needs to happen to get ready for next season. My call for firing Ron Wilson has little to do with trying to make the playoffs this year but more to do with changing the philosophy of play and getting ready for next season. One thing is clear to me: Ron Wilson's act is getting old and it appears that this young team needs a new voice to listen to.
There are plenty of candidates. Within the organization the obvious choice is Dallas Eakins. Eakins has done a great job with the Toronto Marlies. He is a teacher and does stress the importance of playing a defensive style of hockey. He would deserve a promotion. He would be my number one choice. The other name mentioned as a likely replacement for Wilson is Randy Carlyle. Carlyle has a relationship with Leafs GM Brian Burke as he coached Burke's Anaheim Ducks. Carlyle is a no-nonsense guy who also stresses the need to be defensively responsible.
The contract extension that Ron Wilson received at Christmas should not be an impediment for his dismissal. Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment has plenty of money to eat the additional year that Wilson was given. While were at it, Francois Allaire should also be shown the door. It is apparent that Allaire's coaching philosophy does not mesh with the talents of Jonas Gustavsson and has not helped James Reimer in his second year of play.
If this team is going to get better then they need to get a new head coach. The time is now: Fire Ron Wilson.
Downward Spiral Continues As Leafs Fall Out Of 8th
The Toronto Maple Leafs march out of playoff contention continued last night as they dropped a 2-1 decision to the San Jose Sharks at Air Canada Centre. No one can blame the goaltender on this one as James Reimer was solid in goal. But once again it took two periods for this team to play with any sense of urgency and again it was too little too late. The loss dropped the Leafs out of the final playoff spot as they are now one point behind Florida. Interestingly enough, they are 7 points out of 7th and 7 points away from last place.
A season that started out with much promise has turned sour with a terrible 1-6-1 tailspin that rivals last season's horrendous mid-October to November swoon. Being 4-4 over this eight game period would have the Leafs solidly in 8th place with 71 points and they would only be 3 points out of 4th place. With games against Washington and Florida coming up, the season can very well be determined by the end of February.
One has to wonder if a trade will make a difference for the Leafs in trying to make the playoffs and whether or not the deadline should be used to clear cap space, get more draft picks and create opportunities for kids from the Marlies to come up to the big team. It would be great if the Leafs could unload Mike Komisarek, Colby Armstrong, and Tim Connolly but its probably wishful thinking on my part.
At this point I am at a loss as to what this team needs to do. I do believe that whatever move they make before the deadline should not only be for this season. Trading young players or future assets to acquire a player that is going to help get the Leafs into the playoffs is a mistake. It's a path that this franchise has gone down before with limited success. Of course, if success is defined by winning a Stanley Cup then this strategy has been a failure. The Leafs' management team has some big decisions to make between now and 3pm February 27th. I guess that's why they get the big bucks.
Will Leafs Be Different After Deadline??
Monday is the NHL trade deadline and the big question for Leaf Nation is: Will the Leafs roster be different next Tuesday when they face off against the Florida Panthers?? As each day passes I begin to think that if the Maple Leafs make any trades they will not be blockbusters. Yesterday in an interview on TSN Radio 1050 in Toronto, Leafs President & General Manager Brian Burke indicated that he did not have any offer on the table to acquire Rick Nash. Based upon what the Blue Jackets are looking for in return for Nash, that does not surprise me. However, Burkie did say that the Leafs will have to look at the goaltending market.
Burke has defended his goaltending tandem of Jonas Gustavsson and James Reimer throughout the season. In fact, he reiterated what he has said recently that Gustavsson had saved the Leafs season with his play in January. But the Leafs head honcho was very clear that the goaltending performance on Tuesday was not acceptable, noting that the game winner was a shot that was going wide. Burke indicated that they would be looking at a goalie who could help the team now not in the future.
Burke is taking heat for not having an experienced goaltender on the roster and that is fair criticism. But what I like about Burkie is he is not afraid to correct his mistakes. He did it with Kris Versteeg and Francois Beauchemin. With the season hanging in the balance, it would not surprise me if the Leafs acquire a veteran goalie. The candidates could be Evgeni Nabakov, Nikolai Khabibulin, Josh Harding, Andres Lindback and J.S. Giguere. I can't see the Leafs getting Nabakov or Khabibulin. But the other 3 could be possibilities. Harding would seem to fit the bill even though he has never been a starter backing up Niklas Backstrom. Harding has played well when pressed into service and is an unrestricted free agent next year so the Leafs could use the remaining games as an audition with no committment for next season. The Wild may consider the move since it would appear that Harding will look to go somewhere that gives him a shot to be a starter and as a result the price for Harding should not be that high. Harding is 27 years old.
Lindback is an interesting player. He is only 23 years old and is a restricted free agent. He played well when Pekka Rinne was out for a bit but it would appear that the Leafs might not want to bring in another 23 year old goalie. Giguere certainly has experience with the Maple Leafs. However, the 34 year old is under contract for next season at a salary cap hit of $1.25 million. If Burke wasn't willing to bring Giguere back in the summer would he be willing to bring him back now and be obligated to him next season??
Of the three, Harding would seem to make the most sense and don't forget that the Wild's general manager happens to be Cliff Fletcher's son. Giguere could be the fall back if the Leafs are comfortable bringing Giguere back next season. But while Burke is looking for goalies, the team still has other needs particularly some size up front. The other issue that bears watching involves Mikhail Grabovski. The popular center, who also happens to be the Leafs best center man, is an unrestricted free agent next season. Burke had to cringe when he saw that the Carolina Hurricanes signed Tuumo Ruutu to a four year extension worth $4.75 million per year. If Ruutu is worth $4.75 million a year, what's Grabovski worth?? On top of that, the Leafs are paying Tim Connolly $4.75 million per year and I think most would agree that Grabovski is worth more than Connolly.
It seems that the Leafs are balking against paying Grabovski $5.5 million a year. Unless the Leafs are able to clear cap space elsewhere, like moving a Mike Komisarek or a Colby Armstrong, they may look to move Grabovski. The problem with doing that now is that it would damage their already fragile playoff chances. I would hate to see Grabovski go but its obvious that if the Leafs are not going to re-sign him, they would try to get some assets for him.
Brian Burke has plenty of work to do before Monday and I can't think of a better guy to meet the challenge.
Leafs Fall To Devils 4-3 In OT
The Toronto Maple Leafs fought back several times to be in a position to get a valuable two points last night against the New Jersey Devils. Yet, each time they drew even, suspect goaltending dropped them behind. The worst being the game winner by Mark Fayne 1:18 into overtime as the Devils defeated the Leafs 4-3. Toronto did get one point and remained tied with Winnipeg for the 8th and final playoff spot.
After Phil Kessel's goal tied the game with 43 seconds left in the third period, the crowd gave the team a standing ovation as regulation time ended and there was a feeling that the Leafs were going to pull this one out. Just before Fayne's goal, Jake Gardiner rattled one off the post behind Marty Brodeur and it seemed like it was a matter of time before they got the winner. However, seconds later Fayne put one past Jonas Gustavsson on a shot that looked like it was going wide of the net.
Think about how we all would be feeling today if the Leafs would have won the game. We would be talking about the fact that they never quit. That they received scoring from 3 lines. That Gustavsson, despite letting in two weak goals early, made some key saves to keep the Leafs in the game. Instead, a team that needed a win badly suffered a miserable defeat. As I mentioned in an earlier post, some times you need a big hit or a big goal. Kessel's goal could have been that goal. But as I also said sometimes your goalie needs to make a big save. In this case, we are not talking about a big save. We're talking about something routine.
It's anybodies guess as to who Coach Ron Wilson will start on Thursday night. Unless another goalie is brought in, I think that Wilson needs to pick a goalie and ride him. A goaltender needs to develop a groove and gain confidence. The yo-yo situation in net is not helping either goalie. It will also be interesting to see how this team reacts after losing a game that they could have won and needed to win. The Leafs control their own destiny but unless the goaltending situation gets straightened out, this team will not make the playoffs.
Let me close by asking you a question that was posed by Toronto Sun reporter Steve Simmons on twitter: If the Leafs need to win the final game of the season to make the playoffs who should Ron Wilson start in goal, James Reimer or Jonas Gustavsson???
Leafs Head Home With Season On The Line
The Toronto Maple Leafs ended their Western Canadian road trip in miserable fashion by being dominated by the Vancouver Canucks in a 6-2 loss at the Rogers Arena in Vancouver. There is no sense in going over last night's debacle because whether or not the Leafs make the playoffs could be determined in the next four games, all at the Air Canada Centre. The Leafs play New Jersey on Tuesday, San Jose on Thursday and Washington on Saturday. The home stand closes out on Tuesday February 28th against the Florida Panthers. In my opinion, the Leafs must win the three games against the Eastern Conference teams if they are to get into the playoffs.
The HNIC cameramen picked out two great shots of Leafs General Manager Brian Burke last night. The second one showed a visibly steamed Burke who's face was beet red. After the 5-0 defeat of Ottawa there was plenty of talk that the Leafs might not make a trade because the team seemed to be on track. I for one did not feel that way as I felt that the Leafs needed to add muscle up front. Well, after seeing Burke last night I would be shocked if a couple of trades aren't made before the February 27th trade deadline.
I'm not sure what it is about Saturday night HNIC games but the Maple Leafs are 7-10 in Saturday contests. Making matters worse, four of those wins came in October. If the Leafs were 9-8 they would be tied with Ottawa at 68 points and have two games in hand. They would be only two points behind the New Jersey Devils.
Other than Jake Gardiner, Dion Phaneuf and Phil Kessel, every other player should be available in a trade. There has been plenty of talk that the Leafs may need to get a goaltender. I'm not sure who they could get at this point that will be much better than James Reimer and Jonas Gustavsson unless you could get someone like Jaroslav Halak. What might be the better course is going with Gustavsson on this home stand. While it is apparent that Leaf management wants Reimer to be the team's number one, Gustavsson saved the season in Janaury and deserves the chance to take the role as number one goaltender.
But goaltending is only part of the issue. The Leafs terrible defensive zone coverage is killing them and I believe that it is also tied to their inability to do the gritty things that you need to score goals. Going to the net, cycling down low have been missing for the most part over the last 6 games and that translates into their own end where forwards should be back to assist the defense in getting the puck out of their own zone.
Something needs to happen soon otherwise this season that started out so hopeful will once again result in no playoffs for Leaf Nation.
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